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Bitcoin ATM

by Kurt Schuler February 27th, 2013 11:48 pm

I have lacked the energy to write a follow-up to my last post but will do so by the weekend. In the meantime, here are a couple of stories about a Bitcoin ATM.


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Drawing the line

by Kurt Schuler February 16th, 2013 12:42 am

Where in practice does one draw the line between money and other assets? Here, even though I prefer to reserve the term “money” for the monetary base, I will bend to popular usage and use "money” to refer to “money in the broad sense,” which consists mainly of credit.

The economists most concerned with where to draw the line have been, naturally, the monetarists. They were interested both in what assets people use most commonly in payment and what definition of money has changes that correspond well statistically with changes in prices and output. The monetarists settled on M2 as the most appropriate definition in the United States and most other countries. In the United States, M2 comprises

  • M1, consisting of currency held by the public + traveler’s checks of nonbank institutions + demand deposits + other checkable deposits, such as NOW accounts, and
  • these additional components: savings deposits, time deposits less than $100,000, and balances in retail money market funds.

The monetarists’ confidence in M2 was such that the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, a monetarist stronghold that tracked many definitions of money, stopped calculating M3 in 2006, although it has recently restarted calculating a version of it, as I will explain below.

The Austrians did not think about the question as a practical matter until the monetarists had already worked on it for some years. One reason was that at the time, the number of active Austrians could be counted on the fingers of one hand. Murray Rothbard made an attempt in America’s Great Depression, published in 1963, the same year as Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz’s Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960.  (See pages 87-91 of the hyperlinked edition. Rothbard signaled his hostility to the monetarists by citing them little.)

Although some other Austrians have followed Rothbard’s lead, overall the Austrians have shied away from strongly advocating any particular measure of the money supply, even with the caveats Rothbard had in applying it.

Another strand of Austrian thought offers a different approach. Rather than establishing a sharp dividing line between money and other assets, it  recognizes a spectrum of “moneyness.” W.H. Hutt was to my knowledge the first Austrian, or Austrian fellow traveler, to tease out the implications of the idea in his 1956 essay “The Yield from Money Held.” Hutt cited as his partial inspiration an obscure Dutchman, Tjardus Greidanus, whose book The Value of Money (1932, 1950), remains a neglected gem. Hutt in turn influenced George Selgin, through whom I and others got led back to Greidanus.

It has been quite a while since I read the second edition of Greidanus’s book, and I do not have it handy, but judging from the first edition, Greidanus was unaware of the work of a contemporary, the French economist François Divisia, who devised a basis for measuring the money supply that corresponded to Greidanus’s ideas. Divisia likewise seems to have been unaware of Greidanus.

Divisia monetary aggregates do not just add up components of the money supply; they give different components different weights based on their degree of “moneyness.” (My phrasing here is quite imprecise, but good enough for a blog post.) The leader in measuring Divisia aggregates is William Barnett, formerly of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, now at the University of Oklahoma. Barnett is the author of a recent book on Divisia aggregates and a monthly calculation of them for the United States.

After Barnett began publishing his calculations, the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis revived its calculations of Divisia M3, although not of plain M3.

Long-time monetarists continue to consider plain M2 the most useful monetary aggregate for practical purposes of assessing monetary policy. The Austrians, though, would do well to look at the Divisia aggregates, which are more consistent with characteristics of goods that Austrians are wont to stress in other contexts. Many types of financial assets are substitutable for one another, but usually they are not perfectly substitutable, and the degree of substitutability may vary over time, for instance becoming less during recessions, when appetite for risk is lower.


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How not to rethink money

by Larry White February 10th, 2013 10:51 pm

I have a book review now up on reason.com of Bernard Lietaer and Jacqui Dunne's Rethinking Money: How New Currencies Turn Scarcity Into Prosperity. I wanted to like the book more, because I too like alternative currencies. Unfortunately Lietaer and Dunne make some very crankish arguments, suggesting that the phenomenon of a positive interest rate creates problems for the economy, and that a proliferation of free currencies will ameliorate those problems.


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Start from money, or credit?

by Kurt Schuler February 5th, 2013 12:02 am

The Austrian theory of money begins with Carl Menger. In his Principles of Economics he develops a theory, based on economic logic and compared to historical and anthropological evidence, of how money originated.

Menger’s emphasis is on commodity money, which Ludwig von Mises later classified as a form of “money in the narrow sense” and which textbooks today call a form of the monetary base. Menger has little to say about credit.

Later Austrians, building on Menger, developed a “monetary view of credit.” That is, they started from money as the basis of the analysis and discussed credit as deriving from money. This is the textbook view among economists generally, not just among the Austrians. One of the consequences of the monetary view of credit is that it tends to see money as the solid but narrow base on which is constructed a huge superstructure of credit. Diagrams often represent the monetary system as an inverted pyramid that looks likely to topple over at any time, leaving a pile of rubble.

The opposite approach is to take a “credit view of money,” as I think Henry Thornton implicitly did in his Paper Credit of Great Britain and as Joseph Schumpeter discussed in his History of Economic Analysis (see in particular part III, chapter 7, section 4). A credit view looks as money as a kind of residual for settling net credit balances where sufficient trust is lacking to roll over the credit. In the credit view, money is the capstone at the top of the settlement pyramid, which is not inverted and is therefore not in constant danger of toppling over. The credit view also implies less suspicion than the monetary view that banks are “creating money” and that fractional reserve banking is somehow inherently fraudulent.

Since Menger there has of course been a huge amount of further historical and anthropological research into the origins of money. The left-wing anarchist anthropologist David Graeber gives an interesting though tendentious account of some of it in his recent book Debt: The First 5,000 Years, using it to criticize Menger.

My sympathies are with the credit view, because credit is both logically and historically prior to money. Logically prior, because it is easier to imagine a society without money (where outstanding credits are extended, transferred, cleared, or written off) than to imagine a society without credit (where every transaction has to involve barter or cash payment at the moment of consummation). Historically prior, because even hunter-gatherer tribes functioned on a kind of credit, where people performed services for one another today expecting something in return in the future. It was not the exact calculation in terms of a monetary unit we now think of in connection with credit, but it did involve exchange of goods over time and was not simply a gift: those who were able to contribute to the tribe’s well-being but refused to do so tended to get expelled.

(An interesting aside: Menger had high regard for John Law’s ideas on the origins of money: see Appendix I of the Principles, page 318 in my book.)